The state is accumulating resources in anticipation of the presidential campaign
The situation has not changed
For the first time since March 2012, the election rating of President A. Lukashenko decreased and constituted 34.8% at the end of the year – in accordance with the December poll by IISEPS.
The drop in the president’s rating is due to the suspension of the policy of increasing incomes and social guarantees of the population in the second half of 2013. This year, the state tries to stabilize the economic situation in the country by way of seizing personal incomes and reducing the scope of social responsibility of the state. However, the Belarusian leadership hopes to go back to the policy of populism on the eve of presidential elections in 2015.
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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.
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Situation in Belarus
April 8 – April 14
Constitutional referendum: main consequences
April 12, 2022
Speakers: Anatoliy Lebedko, Andrei Kazakevich
Video
How to count the political prisoners: are the new criteria needed?
March 28, 2022
Speakers: Aleh Hulak, Aleh Aheyeu, Viachaslau Kasinierau
Video
Paternalism In Decline, Belarusian Euroscepticism, And The Influence Of Russia
October 11, 2021
Video
Belarus: “High-Risk Country”
April 8 – April 14
Human Rights in Belarus Remain a Focus of Western Attention
April 1 – April 7
The noose tightens: Poland and the Baltic States take initiative in combating sanctions evasion
March 25 – March 31
The EU discusses duties on agricultural products from Belarus and Russia, sanctions synchronization, and a railway blockade
March 18 – March 24
Co-aggressor or Peacemaker?
April 8 – April 14
Belarus Suspends CFE Treaty: Preparing for War?
April 1 – April 7
Playing with fire. The Kremlin and Minsk consider the possibility of using nuclear weapons
March 25 – March 31
Against the backdrop of the renewed migration crisis, NATO prepares for a new escalation
March 18 – March 24
The Coordination Council Returns to the Agenda of the Democratic Movement
April 8 – April 14
The Coordination Council: A Toxic Asset or a Key Element of the Democratic Forces’ Architecture?
April 1 – April 7
“Hawks” of Democratic Forces: Blitzkrieg Narratives for Political Migrants
March 25 – March 31
Democratic forces are developing cooperation with Euronest and contribute to the isolation of the regime
March 18 – March 24
Deficit of Loyal Staff, “Wolf Ticket” for Dissenters
April 8 – April 14
Lukashenka’s Social Contract-2024: Guarantees for the Security Forces, Whip for Others
April 1 – April 7
The Lukashenka Pyramid: A Dilemma of Two Peaks
March 25 – March 31
Lukashenka takes lessons from Jack Sparrow on expropriation of businesses
March 18 – March 24