Solidarity with Ukraine reduces opposition’s influence on population
On March 25th, the opposition celebrated yet another anniversary of the Belarusian People’s Republic, which was also marked by the solidarity with Ukraine and condemnation of Russian aggression.
The authorities have demonstrated loyalty to the organisers and the demonstration participants and have not exacerbated the situation. In addition, the demonstration has attracted slightly more participants than the organisers have anticipated – mainly due to those inspired by the events in Ukraine. Meanwhile, focus on Ukraine significantly reduces the Belarusian opposition’s opportunities to convey their messages to the population, the majority of which condemns the unrests in Ukraine after the Maidan.
According to Belstat, in August 7,600 people were dismissed, including 4,800 civil servants. Dismissals of civil servants were due to the optimisation in the public administration by up to 30%. Some civil servants would retain their job however would lose the status of a civil servant. Vacancies on the labour market are likely to reduce in number, thanks to the optimisation, the state administration would increase wages for public servants. The payroll fund for retained employees is likely to increase and some former state employees are likely to get jobs in affiliated organizations. The optimisation of the state apparatus should complete by January 1st, 2018, and some former civil servants are likely to join the ranks of the unemployed.