Parliamentary Election campaign scenario remains unchanged
The authorities will control the main stage of the campaign: counting the votes. This year’s scenario remains unchanged for the opposition and becomes a ‘test trial’ for the members of quaNGO “Belaya Rus” [White Russia].
By August 9, 6301 district election commissions for the parliamentary elections in September were formed. Among 68,945 commissions’ members less than 0.1% is the opposition.
Two main quangos, “Belaya Rus” and the Federation of Trade Unions of Belarus have been extraordinary active during this campaign. There will be 4189 (6.1%) members of “Belaya Rus” represented in the precinct election commissions and 9418 representatives of the FPB (13.7%).
“Belaya Rus” leadership had repeatedly emphasized its readiness to support the governmental policy during this campaign therefore work of “Belaya Rus” activists in the election commissions would be put through a loyalty to the authorities’ test. “Belaya Rus” is taking part in the elections to test its capabilities and assets for the organization of local, parliamentary and presidential election campaigns in the future.
At the same time, representation of opposition parties and movements in the local election commissions is very low. For example, political parties “Fair World”, Belarusian Social Democratic Party (Gromada), United Civil Party, and the BPF managed to register 61 representatives in the precinct election commissions all together (with zero representation in the Minsk city).
Therefore, there are no changes in the way the ongoing election campaign is carried out. The deterioration of the Belarusian foreign relations, namely, the Swedish-Belarusian diplomatic row also lies within the usual trend. In this context, there are little chances anything might change: very little time is left before the 23rd September, the Election Day.
The Labour and the Tax Ministries are considering the possibility to include persons engaged in some economic activity without forming a legal entity in the social security system. When the decree No 337 comes into effect, the number of private entrepreneurs is likely to reduce due to the possibility of reducing the tax burden when switching to a tax payment as an individual. 95% of self-employed, including PE, pay insurance premiums on the basis of the minimum wage. The number of self-employed citizens is expected to increase, the number of insurance contributions to the pension system from PE will decrease, the number of citizens who will pay a fee to finance government spending will decrease by several tens. Self-employed citizens have the alternative not to pay social security fees and save resources for future pensions, which, given the gradual restriction by the state of pension requirements could be a more long-sighted option.