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Opposition to identify strategies for 2015 presidential elections

April 22, 2016 18:48

The opposition has resumed negotiations to nominate a single candidate in the 2015 presidential elections.

However, now they lack a clear vision of how to transform the Belarusian regime. Influenced by the events in Ukraine, the opposition started revising the ‘Belarusian maidan’ scenario and feasibility of mass protests on the Election Day. The probability of the opposition choosing a single candidate for the 2015 presidential election is decreasing, as pessimism about the regime change in 2015 among the opposition grows. The number of potential presidential candidates in 2015 will depend on their ability to attract the necessary financial and human resources.

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Minsk attempts to make up for image losses from military exercises by opening to Western values
October 02, 2017 11:49
Image: Catholic.by

The Belarusian authorities regard the Catholic conference as yet another international event to promote Minsk as a global negotiating platform. Minsk’s proposal to organise a meeting between the Roman-Catholic Church and the Russian Orthodox Church is rather an image-making undertaking than a serious intention. However, the authorities could somewhat extend the opportunities for the Roman-Catholic Church in Belarus due to developing contacts with the Catholic world.

Minsk is attempting to lay out a mosaic from various international religious, political and sportive events to shape a positive image of Belarus for promoting the Helsinki 2.0 idea.

Belarus’ invitation to the head of the Holy See for a meeting with the Patriarch of the Russian Orthodox Church should be regarded as a continuation of her foreign policy efforts in shaping Minsk’s peacekeeping image and enhancing Belarus’ international weight. The Belarusian authorities are aware that their initiative is unlikely to find supporters among the leadership of the Russian Orthodox Church in Moscow. In Russia, isolationist sentiments prevail.

In addition, for domestic audiences, the authorities make up for the lack of tangible economic growth with demonstrations of growth in Minsk’s authority at international level through providing a platform for religious, sportive and other dialogues.