State employees’ salaries increased: a promise that had to be fulfilled
Canceled in August, the raise of the tariff rate for the first class workers would be implemented in September. Accelerated inflation in August made indexing of wages inevitable. Increased incomes will increase domestic demand and may result in greater inflation.
On August 20th, 2012 the Council of Ministers of the Republic of Belarus adopted a resolution No 769, setting the tariff rate for the first class workers at BYR 225,000.
On September 1st, 2012 a new tariff rate for the first-class workers will be BYR 225 thousand (increased by 7.1%), which will raise the salaries in the public sector by 6.1% on average. The regulation also increases differentiation among employees in terms of payment, depending on the complexity of work.
There are funds in the state budget to increase salaries in the public sector. Consolidated budget surplus in the first half of 2012 will beBYR 3.7 trillion. Belarusian companies earned BYR 41.9 trillion net profit. Additional budget revenues will thus be redistributed in citizens’ favour.
Increase in the tariff rate is lined to the inflation. In August, due to the increased utilities’ costs inflation accelerated. During the first two weeks in August, consumer prices rose by 1.5% compared with average prices in July. Indexation of wages is carried out if inflation reaches 5% and higher during a period. Thus, state employees’ salaries increase is a forced and inevitable measure.
The average salary in the public sector with the increase from September 1, 2012 will be BYR 3.2 million. Officials’ wages lag behind the average in the economy, and such disparity has a negative impact on employment in the public sector. The outflow of workers into other spheres can lead to a staff shortage for a number of vacancies.
However, there are some negative trends in the economy. Industrial growth slowed down. Labour productivity could not keep up with the growth of wages in the economy. Unfavorable trends in foreign markets for a number of Belarusian products can reduce profits.
In these circumstances, additional incomes of state employees may increase domestic demand, increase imports and result in a general price growth, including services cost, which will level incomes’ growth.
According to Belstat, in August 7,600 people were dismissed, including 4,800 civil servants. Dismissals of civil servants were due to the optimisation in the public administration by up to 30%. Some civil servants would retain their job however would lose the status of a civil servant. Vacancies on the labour market are likely to reduce in number, thanks to the optimisation, the state administration would increase wages for public servants. The payroll fund for retained employees is likely to increase and some former state employees are likely to get jobs in affiliated organizations. The optimisation of the state apparatus should complete by January 1st, 2018, and some former civil servants are likely to join the ranks of the unemployed.