Sberbank and Deutsche Bank will credit Belaruskali for USD 2 billion
The loan will be secured by export contracts and guarantees of 35% of the shares of the enterprise. This was announced by Head of Russian Sberbank German Gref at a meeting with Prime Minister Vladimir Putin on Friday.
Since the growth of public debt is currently not feasible, the government bets on the growth of corporate debt. The loan is issued on the condition of export contracts of Belaruskali, the only sustainable and stable generator of the foreign currency earnings in Belarus. The issue is that the loan needs to be repaid otherwise, 35% of the stakes of the enterprise will be given away for $ 2 billion only, which is times less than previously projected amounts. Therefore this loan is not a victory, rather a failure of the President to find cheap loans.
The country's leadership has instructed the local authorities to raise minimum wages at enterprises by the end of 2019 to BYN 1,000, which would lead to an increase in the average wage in the economy as a whole to BYN 1 500. The pace of wage growth in 2017 is insufficient to ensure payroll at BYN 1000 by late 2017 without manipulating statistical indicators. In order to fulfil the president’s order, the government would have to increase budgetary expenditures on wages in healthcare and education, enterprises – to carry out further layoffs and expand the practice of taking loans to pay wages and restrict investment in modernisation of fixed assets. In 2010, the artificial increase in wages led to a threefold devaluation in 2011, an increase in the average salary to BYN 1500 will not match the capabilities of the economy and would lead to yet another devaluation.