Job cuts in economy are expected in 2014
In accordance with the governmental forecast, workforce reduction by 70 thousand is expected in enterprises in 2014. The fact of the excessive number of staff is confirmed by the executives of enterprises themselves.
The figures of proposed job cuts will not be reached for two reasons. The idea is to create 47 thousand new high-performing jobs for dismissed employees, which is unfeasible. And the upcoming presidential campaign in 2015, whereby the escalation of social tensions in society is unacceptable, will serve as a deterrent. Jobs will be cut only in extreme cases (economic insolvency). The alternative option will be less noticeable incremental reduction in the number of staff under the pretext of the growth of wages of remaining employees of the enterprise.
President Lukashenka has met with the head of Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov, who visited Minsk and the Minsk Automobile Plant. Minsk has always sought to have independent links with Russian regional elites, partially, to compensate for the Kremlin's diminishing interest in Belarus. In recent years, Belarus’ contacts with the Russian regions have been extremely intense. However, with some leaders of Russian regions, primarily heads of large republics, communication was more difficult to build. As many analysts in Minsk suggested, Minsk could regard contacts between President Lukashenka and the head of Chechnya as an additional communication channel for relieving tension in relations with the Kremlin. However, most likely, a trusting relationship with Kadyrov is a value for Minsk as such, provided Kadyrov’s broad business and political interests, and a high degree of autonomy for the Chechen leader from the Kremlin.