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September 11 – September 17, 2017

Inflation in Belarus in 2017 could be lowest in ten years

The situation has not changed

According to Belstat, in August 2017, consumer prices fell by 0.8%, since early 2017, inflation was 5.3%. Prices in Belarus have been declining for two consecutive months, which was recorded for the first time since 1991. A seasonal decline in prices for fruit and vegetables is common in August due to harvesting season. Tariffs for housing and communal services are likely to continue to grow, currency exchange rate fluctuations unlikely to be significant, which should have a positive effect on the stability of import prices. A smooth reduction in discount rate should allow containing demand for Belarusian roubles from industry and trade and reduce inflation expectations. The lowest consumer inflation in the past ten years was recorded in 2010 at 7.8%. Should administrative regulation of inflation retain and oil prices remain high, by the year end, inflation in Belarus could be reported at 7%-7.5%.

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