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January 19 – January 25, 2015

Industry prospects depend on Russian market

The situation has not changed
Industry prospects depend on Russian market

December 2014 saw the industrial production index go lower than 100% in comparison to the same month last year (the last time this happened was in February 2014).

The cumulative production growth of 1.9% as of 2014 year-end created a high comparative base for the 2015 index numbers. Under current conditions, the industry will be unable to demonstrate production growth, and it is reasonable to expect operational indicators to decrease. Devaluation will create difficulties for buying materials as a result of restrictions on price rises, but the competitive ability of the exported goods will be restored as a result of a further fall in the Belarusian ruble. If the economic situation in Russia continues to deteriorate, the big enterprises which are oriented towards the Russian market could see a large fall in their production levels, and underemployment and social instability may rise.

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Once a week, in coordination with a group of prominent Belarusian analysts, we provide analytical commentaries on the most topical and relevant issues, including the behind-the-scenes processes occurring in Belarus. These commentaries are available in Belarusian, Russian, and English.
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