The government fails to elaborate an effective privatization strategy
The government proposes to reduce the statue of limitations for privatization deals, which is an important achievement of the bureaucracy at the current development stage.
The auditing company Ernst & Young, which assessed the Minsk Automobile Plant (MAZ) in the framework of creation of a joint venture with Russia’s largest truck manufacturer Kamaz, has estimated the costs of MAZ assets to $ 800 million. The Belarusian government is unhappy with the results and intends to hire another appraiser.
The Ministry of Economy of Belarus proposes reduce significantly the statute of limitations for privatization deals. The bill is currently pending in the Council of Ministers and will provide for the reduction of the limitation period to challenge privatization deals from 10 to 3 years. The Ministry of Economy believes that three years should be enough for the state authorities to discover the grounds for nullification of a transaction.
From the investor’s perspective and for the business climate the reduction of statute of limitation is a definite benefit, as it increases guarantees for investors, i.e. that after three years, no one will seize the company, that the privatization results will not be reviewed, etc.
Last week, only 2 out of 17 auctions concerning the sale of state-owned assets have been validated. At the two auctions were sold: 52.7% of the capital shares of the enterprise “Spetsmontazhstroy” to Minsk LLC “Deyland” and 99% of the “Pukhovichi food plant” to JV “Morozprodukt”.
According to the State Property Committee the auctions scheduled for 11 November 2011 have been invalidated due to the absence of bidders to buy the shares of: Belenergosvyaz (Minsk),Grodnogazstroyizolyatsiya (Gomel), Belpromkultura (Vitebsk), Grodnoteamontazh (Grodno), Tekhnopribor (Mogilev), Polotskles (Polotsk).
On 15 November the deadline for potential investors to bid for the purchase of the 51% of the government’s stakes in a mobile operator MTS expired, the auction was announced following the refusal of the Russian co-owner - OJSC “MTS” – to buy shares at the proposed price of USD 1 billion. The auction is scheduled to take place on 1st December with a starting price of $ 1 billion, however today it is already clear that the auction will not take place because the State Property Committee of Belarus received no bids from potential investors.
The government is trying to maximize the selling price of the Belarusian assets, but these attempts always fail.
From the investor’s perspective and for the business climate the reduction of statute of limitation is a definite benefit, as it increases guarantees for investors, i.e. that after three years, no one will seize the company, that the privatization results will not be reviewed, etc. However, this will significantly increase the risk of corruption and shady transactions. Therefore the reduction of the limitation period is an important achievement of the bureaucracy at the current development stage.
The disagreement with the assessment of MAZ and the lack of bids for 51% of shares in MTS with the starting price of 1 billion are links in one chain. The government is trying to maximize the selling price of the Belarusian assets, but these attempts always fail.
The country's leadership has instructed the local authorities to raise minimum wages at enterprises by the end of 2019 to BYN 1,000, which would lead to an increase in the average wage in the economy as a whole to BYN 1 500. The pace of wage growth in 2017 is insufficient to ensure payroll at BYN 1000 by late 2017 without manipulating statistical indicators. In order to fulfil the president’s order, the government would have to increase budgetary expenditures on wages in healthcare and education, enterprises – to carry out further layoffs and expand the practice of taking loans to pay wages and restrict investment in modernisation of fixed assets. In 2010, the artificial increase in wages led to a threefold devaluation in 2011, an increase in the average salary to BYN 1500 will not match the capabilities of the economy and would lead to yet another devaluation.