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November 14 – November 20, 2016

Belarusian banking sector to reduce credit cost for successful enterprises to discount rate in early 2017

The situation has not changed

The average interest rate on rouble loans for legal persons in October 2016 was 21.8%, which is 12.4 percentage points lower compared with interest rates in December 2015. Low demand for credit resources amid higher budget expenditures has led to a sustainable excess liquidity. On November 16th, 2016, the National Bank allocated BYN 1 billion for a 28-day period at 12% per annum. Interest rates on currency and rouble loans are likely to continue to decline; household deposits in the banking system are likely to reduce and banks are likely to tighten rules for assessing credit risks when granting loans to enterprises. Banks are likely to restructure loans in order to fight bad debts. The state may tighten game rules for the banking sector, which means that successful businesses are likely to be able to receive credit resources at the discount rate in Q1 2017 due to lower bank profitability.

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